News

KOF SPRING FORECAST 2015:REMOVAL OF THE EXCHANGE RATE FLOOR: AN ENDURANCE TEST FOR THE SWISS ECONOMY

The increase in the value of the Swiss franc following the removal of the exchange rate floor will weigh down heavily on the Swiss business cycle. The KOF is forecasting GDP growth of 0.2% in 2015. Exporters in particular are feeling the effects of the strong franc. Due to falling prices and consumer tourism, private consumption is initially holding up well. However, businesses are delaying investments in capital equipment. The negative effects on the labour market will still be relatively limited this year, although the unemployment rate will increase more strongly in 2016. GDP growth will remain weak next year at 1%.

Press Release

The KOF

OUR RESEARCH DEPARTMENTS

The research activities at the KOF Swiss Economic Institute are conducted by its five sections. Learn more about these sections, their organisation and the people at KOF.

more...

Surveys

CHECKING THE PULSE OF SWISS COMPANIES

KOF Swiss Economic Institute conducts a wide range of surveys among Swiss firms. The survey results are of vital importance to our forecasts and research activities. If you would like to take part in the surveys, you may register here.

Information & Registration

SGK

SWISS SOCIETY FOR BUSINESS CYCLE RESEARCH

The SGK is supporting the KOF. Learn more about the SGK and the benefits you get as a member.

SGK

Teaching

THE CHAIRS AT KOF

The Chair of Applied Macroeconomics, the Chair of Applied Economics: Innovation and Internationalisation and the Chair of Public Economics are part of KOF. Find all the information here.

Chair of Applied Macroeconomics
Chair of Applied Economics
Chair of Public Economics

KOF Index of Globalization

GLOBALIZATION IS STAGNATING

The latest KOF Globalization Index reflects the degree of economic, social and political globalization in 2012. ccording to the Globalization Index, globalization in 2012 rose very little compared to the previous year. The OECD countries even recorded a slight decline in the degree of globalization. In contrast, the Index for South and East Asia as well as Sub-Saharan Africa rose to some extent. In all other regions, globalization declined in 2012.

Press Release

KOF Study

THE BILATERAL PATH – AN ECONOMIC STOCKTAKING

Since the success of the Initiative against Mass Immigration (MII), there has been uncertainty over the framework within which the bilateral agreements may be pursued with the European Union. Against this backdrop, the KOF has carried out a new study in which it analyses the influence of the bilateral agreements on economic development in Switzerland over the last few years. The study focused in particular on the effect of the Agreement on the Free Movement of Persons, which forms part of the Bilateral Agreements I.

Press Release

Publications

KOF STUDY

The Swiss Mass Immigration Initiative: The impact of increased policy uncertainty on expected firm behaviour

KOF Study
Impressum | ETH Zürich | © 2015