Forecasts & Indicators
The KOF regularly publishes various indicators and forecasts. These are partly based on the results of the KOF economic surveys among Swiss companies as well as external data.
News about Forecasts and Indicators:
KOF Globalisation Index: globalisation rose slightly in 2023
The world is becoming a little more interconnected again: globalisation deepened in economic, social and political terms in 2023. The Netherlands remains the most globalised country in the world, while Switzerland ranks second.
KOF Monetary Policy Communicator for the Euro Area, December 2025
The KOF MPC figure for 18 December 2025 is -0.04. At today’s meeting, the ECB’s Governing Council decided to keep the three key ECB interest rates unchanged.
KOF Economic Forecast: Despite Trade Deal, Gloomy Outlook for the Swiss Economy
For 2025, the KOF Institute expects real GDP growth of 1.4% adjusted for major sporting events. For 2026, it anticipates a slowdown in growth dynamics to 1.1%, before growth increases to 1.7% in 2027. The upward revision for the coming years is driven primarily by the easing of trade policy tensions, which reduces US tariffs on Swiss exports from 39% to 15%. The positive effect of the reduced tariffs is partly offset by the deterioration in the international outlook.
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