News & Events

KOF is forecasting an increase of 1.2 per cent in real sport-adjusted gross domestic product (GDP) for the current year (1.6 per cent including sporting events). Sport-adjusted growth of 1.8 per cent is expected for 2025 (1.4 per cent including sporting events). KOF’s economic outlook is therefore virtually unchanged compared with its spring forecast.

The Leading Global Barometer rises for the third consecutive month in June, but it has not yet fully recovered from the losses of February and March. The Coincident Barometer remains relatively stable for the fourth month in a row.

KOF is forecasting that the Swiss economy will grow by 1.6 per cent this year. A quarter of this increase will be due to the European Football Championships being held in Germany and the Olympic Games in Paris. KOF economist Alexander Rathke explains the background to this effect.

KOF economist Samad Sarferaz talks about the methodological refinement of KOF’s economic forecasts and their underlying models. He also gives an up-to-date assessment of the Swiss economy, inflation and monetary policy.

The KOF Business Situation Indicator for the Swiss private sector rose very slightly in May. It did not fall again in the previous month and remained stable (see chart G 4). In May, firms were more confident than before about business activity over the next six months. There are increasing signs that the Swiss economy may have bottomed out.