Income and Wealth Inequality and the 99% Initiative

On 26 September 2021 the Swiss citizens will vote on the popular initiative "Reduce tax on salaries, tax capital fairly" (unofficially "99% initiative"). The 99% initiative wants to increase social justice by taxing capital income (e.g. interest and dividends) above an exemption amount 1.5 times as much as labor income. The resulting extra revenue should be used to reduce income taxes for people with low to medium labour incomes and to finance spending on social welfare, education and health. Due to the upcoming vote on the 99% initiative, but also because of the Corona crisis, economic inequality is currently a frequently debated topic. To make the views of research economists in academia on the initiative and inequality in Switzerland visible to the public, the KOF, together with the external pageNeue Zürcher Zeitung (NZZ), conducted in August 2021 a survey.

KOF contacted 824 economists for the survey. We received responses from 142 economists from 18 institutions.

Results

1. Inequality and Corona crisis: Short term

Up to now, due to the Covid-19 pandemic inequality of disposable income in Switzerland has

2. Inequality and Corona crisis: Long term

In the long run and without additional active countermeasures by economic policy (ceteris paribus), the Covid-19 pandemic will cause inequality of disposable income in Switzerland (compared to a scenario without a pandemic) to

3. Income inequality and economic development

The current level of income inequality in Switzerland has the following effect on long-term economic development:

4. Wealth inequality and economic development

The current level of wealth inequality in Switzerland has the following effect on long-term economic development:

5. 99% Initiative

The 99% Initiative calls for capital income to be taxed 1.5 times as much as labor income above an exemption amount to be determined by the legislature. Currently, in Switzerland taxation of total income generally does not distinguish between individual elements or sources (exceptions are dividends and other income from qualifying investments, which are taxed at a lower rate). From an economic perspective, should capital income be taxed more heavily, equally, or less heavily than labor income? From an economic perspective,

6. Tax policy instruments

Which tax policy instruments should be used as a priority to reduce a too high level of inequality or should no such instruments be used (multiple choice possible, in %)?

7. Non-tax policy instruments

Which non-tax policy instruments should be used as a priority to reduce a too high level of inequality or should no such instruments be used (multiple choice possible, in %)?

8. Tax policy instruments or non-tax policy instruments

Which type of instruments should be given a higher weight to reduce a too high level of inequality, or should both be weighted equally, or should both not be used at all?

About this survey

KOF is acting as a mediator between academic researchers and the public. It aims to make the voices of research economists heard. KOF categorises economic researchers as those from Swiss research institutions who have published scientifically.

 The survey was conducted together with the external pageNeuen Zürcher Zeitung.

The press release can be found here. The NZZ article (in German) can be found external pagehere.

Contact

Dr. Klaus Abberger
  • LEE G 121
  • +41 44 632 51 56

KOF Konjunkturforschungsstelle
Leonhardstrasse 21
8092 Zürich
Switzerland

Nina Mühlebach
  • LEE G 113
  • +41 44 633 86 09

KOF FB Konjunkturumfragen
Leonhardstrasse 21
8092 Zürich
Switzerland

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