KOF Economic Barometer: Still above average despite decline

In February, the KOF Economic Barometer decreases slightly after having risen three times in a row. On the back of these previous increases, the Barometer remains above average. Despite the slight cooling, the rather positive economic signals in Switzerland remain intact.

The KOF Economic Barometer falls by 0.9 points to 101.6 in February (from a revised 102.5 in January). The outlook for manufacturing and the construction sectors brightened. On the other hand, the outlook for financial and insurance services, hospitality, other services and foreign demand in general worsened. The outlook for private consumption in Switzerland is stable.

In the producing sector (manufacturing and construction), indicators such as stocks of finished products, order books and the number of persons employed developed positively. The only indicators developing negatively were those for intermediate goods and, to a lesser extent, for profits.

Within the manufacturing, the wood, glass, stone and earth industry, the metal industry and, to a lesser extent, machinery and equipment manufacturing stood out positively in February. On the other hand, the paper and printing industry, food and beverages producers and also the electrical industry are likely to develop weaker.

Enlarged view: Development of the barometer in the last 12 months (Current value and previous month's value): Feb 2023	101.5	101.3 Mar 2023	100.5	100.4 Apr 2023	97.9	97.8 May 2023	95.7	96.3 Jun 2023	94.3	94.6 Jul 2023	96.2	96.3 Aug 2023	95.2	96.1 Sep 2023	96.0	96.6 Oct 2023	95.0	95.1 Nov 2023	97.0	97.0 Dec 2023	97.9	98.0 Jan 2024	102.5	101.5 Feb 2024	101.6

Contact

Dr. Klaus Abberger
  • LEE G 121
  • +41 44 632 51 56

KOF Konjunkturforschungsstelle
Leonhardstrasse 21
8092 Zürich
Switzerland

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